To: K-list
Recieved: 1999/12/24 15:04
Subject: Re: [K-list] How do we know it isn't just coincidence?
From: alingimp

Martin wrote:
>How do we know it isn't just coincidence? After all, a lot of people
>suffer pain, disruption to their lives and psyche, migraine, etc.,
>without K, and a lot with it. So what difference does K make?

Well, how do we know whether anything that's happening to us isn't just
random coincidence? We don't. But nonethless we can observe ourselves, the
symptoms we are experiencing and certain changes and occurences affecting
body and mind. The difference that K makes is quite noticable to me. Before
and after K, so to speak.

Martin wrote:
>I'm comparing this with arguments like: Fred's grandfather has smoked
>for 60 years and never got lung cancer, yet Joe got it in 5 years of
>smoking. How do you prove that smoking is the cause when you have such a
>small sample set?

How do you prove it is not?

Indeed, in the case of smoking, it has taken a long,
>long time to show beyond reasonable doubt that there is a causal rather
>than a coincidental link, even though 95% of all lung cancers happen to
>smokers.
>("86.3% of all statistics are made up on the spot." Vic Reeves.)

So why bring in statistics at all then? Most things can be as likely as they
can be unlikely, even with a 95 % probability.

Karin

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